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Look for Warmer Days This Weekend Featured

Well, the snow seemed to get left out in the cold this week!

Big Idea

  • Predicted snow tapered off this time for most of Yavapai County
  • Might get some Tuesday snow
  • Temperatures should warm up to the high 50's by the end of the week
  • A possible new storm could be ushered in next week
  • Read more...

Despite predictions, the snow mostly failed to appear 

Forecast Summary:

Monday: Cloudy and cool, with light rain/snow showers in the morning, changing to rain showers in the late morning to early afternoon, then changing back to snow showers in the late afternoon to evening. Some light snow accumulation possible. High near 40. Breezy south wind at times.

Tuesday: Snow showers, mainly in the early to mid morning hours, but lingering chance of snow showers throughout the day. Snow accumulation of 1”-2” possible. Morning low near 29. High in the lower 40s. 

 

Wednesday-Sunday: Mostly sunny and becoming warmer, except for some high clouds on Friday. Light breezes, especially in the afternoon hours each day. Morning lows warming from the lower 20s on Wednesday to the lower 30s over the weekend. Afternoon highs warming from the upper 40s on Wednesday to near 60 on Sunday. There could be some increasing clouds late on Sunday as another storm system approaches the area…

Forecast Table:

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecast/wxtables/

 

Navigate on the map to your location and click for a detailed local forecast.

 

Forecast Discussion:

An other upper-level trough will be moving across Arizona today - tomorrow, with an associated cold front moving through early tomorrow morning. The atmosphere is already quite moist, and we are seeing some light pre-frontal rain/drizzle showers, mixed with snow showers this morning. Snow levels are hovering around 5,000’, but will rise above 5,500’ during the day, then drop back down below 5,000’ this evening. The best chance for accumulating snow will be in the early morning hours, with 1”-2” of snow accumulation indicated by most forecast models. The European model has been consistently indicating more snow than the other forecast models, and I believe it is not out of the realm of possibility to get 2” – 5” of snow, especially in the higher elevations around town. 

The temperatures will be cold enough for snow, but it will be a wet snow. Tomorrow morning and Wednesday morning, there could be some icy spots on the roads, but otherwise, the roads will probably be wet or slushy. 

For the rest of the week, high pressure will prevail, except for a disturbance on Friday that will bring some high clouds and breezes. Temperatures could rise to near 60 by Sunday.

Sunday night through early next week, more unsettled weather could be on the way…more details later.

C. James

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MetMail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once per week via email. Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Meteorology (https://erau.edu/degrees/bachelor/meteorology?campus=Prescott). Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates! 


Embry-Riddle Prescott Meteorology Website:

http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/

This has a selection of model forecast products and other links.

Official National Weather Service Forecast:

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/WxTable

This clickable map will give you an official detailed local weather forecast for any location in the Western U.S.

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Last modified on Monday, 30 January 2023 23:25
Published in Azeducation.news
Dr. Curtis N. James, Ph.D.

Curtis N. James, Ph. D. Is a Professor of Meteorology at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University in the Department of Applied Aviation Sciences.

He has taught courses in beginning meteorology, aviation weather, thunderstorms, satellite and radar imagery interpretation, atmospheric physics, mountain meteorology, tropical meteorology and weather forecasting techniques for over 16 years. He participates in ERAU’s Study Abroad program, offering alternating summer programs each year in Switzerland and Brazil.

He earned a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington (2004) and participated in the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP; 1999), an international field research project in the European Alps. His research specialties include radar, mesoscale, and mountain meteorology. He earned his B.S. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Arizona (1995), during which time he gained two years of operational experience as a student intern with the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Tucson, Arizona (1993-1995).

Dr. James is a native of Arizona where he currently resides with his wife and five children. He is active in his community, having served on the Prescott SciTechFest Advisory Committee and as a Board Member for the Children's Museum Alliance, Inc. On his spare time, he enjoys weather watching, backpacking, camping, fishing, caving, mountain biking, acting, and music. He is an Eagle Scout and serves as the scoutmaster for a local scout troop.

https://erau.edu/degrees/bachelor/bachelor-of-science-degree-in-applied-meteorology?campus=prescott