Are You Prepared for a Big Storm? Featured

Dr. Curtis James, Professor of Meteorology, ERAU February 21, 2023 454

The word of the week is "SNOW".

Big Idea

  • It is going to snow this week, and it's going to blow this week
  • There could be from 6-12 inches in accumulation
  • Please be prepared
  •

 Prepare for snow, wind and rain


Forecast Summary:

Monday: Partly cloudy, with a slight chance of an isolated light rain shower in the afternoon. High in the upper 50s.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds and breezes in the afternoon, becoming very windy in the evening. Southwest wind gusts becoming 30-40 mph in the evening, with gusts over 50 mph possible. Low in the lower 30s. High in the mid 50s. 

Wednesday: Very windy, especially in the early morning hours. Southwest wind 35 – 45 mph sustained, possibly gusting as high as 60 or 70 mph at times. Winds dying down in the mid to late morning hours. Overcast to mostly cloudy, with snow showers likely starting early to mid morning, with accumulations of 2”-4” possible. The high temperature will likely occur in the very early morning (around 40 degrees), then cooling to below freezing most of the day. Low in the mid 20s by late evening. Roads could become snow-packed by early to mid morning and remain snow packed with possible icy spots during the day.

Thursday – Sunday: Mostly cloudy and breezy, with a chance of snow showers each day. Additional snow accumulation possible each day, especially on Friday and again Saturday night – Sunday. Lows in the 20s each morning, highs in the mid to upper 30s. 

Forecast Table:




Navigate on the map to your location and click for a detailed local forecast.


Forecast Discussion:

This week is shaping up to be a stormy week! Currently, a cutoff low over northern Mexico is circulating some warm, moist air northward into Arizona, producing partly cloudy skies and possibly some light sprinkles of rain this afternoon. However, tomorrow the weather will begin to deteriorate in the afternoon, with increasing high clouds and increasing wind. By the evening hours, very windy conditions developing and continuing overnight. There will be a strong cold front accompanied by a strong, large storm system moving through the Southwest on Wednesday - Thursday. The strongest wind speeds are expected in the early morning hours on Wednesday, with occasional wind gusts up to 60 or 70 mph possible. You should consider securing loose items in your yards! 

Two additional troughs are possible on Friday and again on Saturday night to Sunday, for a lingering chance of snow showers through the rest of the week. Total snow accumulation this week will be 6 – 12 inches or more this week, with 2”-4” on Wednesday, then 1”-2” on Thursday, and more snow possible later in the week.  

C. James



MetMail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once per week via email. Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Meteorology (https://erau.edu/degrees/bachelor/meteorology?campus=Prescott). Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates! 

Embry-Riddle Prescott Meteorology Website:


This has a selection of model forecast products and other links.

Official National Weather Service Forecast:


This clickable map will give you an official detailed local weather forecast for any location in the Western U.S.

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Last modified on Tuesday, 21 February 2023 02:35
Published in Azeducation.news