Big Idea

• The weather will be erratic this week
• Some snow in Prescott and surrounding hills
• Precipitation since January 1: 2.56 inches
• Snow showers will continue this week
• Read more...

Highs will not even reach 50º this week

Forecast Summary:

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Perhaps 1”-2” of additional snow accumulation. Breezy southwest to northwest wind. High in the upper 30s.

Wednesday: A slight chance of snow showers in the morning, otherwise, becoming mostly sunny. Low in the mid 20s. High in the lower 40s.

Thursday: Increasing clouds and breezes, becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon and evening, with some light accumulation. Low in the lower 20s. High in the lower 40s. 

Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a chance of snow showers, especially in the morning hours. Perhaps 1”-3” of snow accumulation and possibly icy roads. Low in the upper 20s. High in the mid 30s. 

Saturday – Sunday: Mostly sunny, but with some increasing high clouds on Sunday. Lows in the upper teens to around 20. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Forecast Table:

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecast/wxtables/

Navigate on the map to your location and click for a detailed local forecast.

Forecast Discussion:

Wow…what an amazing 3-day weekend it was, with two back-to-back weather systems following last Tuesday’s frontal system. The quad city area had between 1.5” and 4.8” of liquid water equivalent in the past week, with the average weekly rainfall total being about 2.5”. The lowest elevations had perhaps a dusting of snow, but the highest elevations on the south side of town currently have about 18” of snow on the ground at the 7,000’ level.

Snow showers will linger in the area today through tomorrow morning as the air remains very moist and the cold core of the trough will move overhead, keeping the air weakly unstable. There is another weak disturbance behind the main trough that will move across the area overnight, keeping the threat of light snow showers going. Perhaps up to an inch or two of additional snow accumulation is possible today to tomorrow morning.

The next weather system is expected on Thursday – Friday and another one on Sunday – Monday. These next weather systems will dive down into Arizona from the northwest and will likely tap into less moisture, but will be colder than this past weekend. I expect perhaps 1”-3” of snow with each of these next two systems in the Prescott area. There is considerable uncertainty in this forecast, however, as forecast models have not yet converged on a consistent solution. The roads will likely be icy on Friday morning and again next Monday morning. 

Have a great week!

C. James

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MetMail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once per week via email. Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Meteorology (https://erau.edu/degrees/bachelor/meteorology?campus=Prescott). Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates! 

Embry-Riddle Prescott Meteorology Website:

http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/

This has a selection of model forecast products and other links.

Official National Weather Service Forecast:

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/WxTable

This clickable map will give you an official detailed local weather forecast for any location in the Western U.S.