Weather Precipitation Unlikely This Week Featured

Take a break from the storms this week!

Big Idea

  • Precipitation is unlikely this week
  • Variable high cloudiness
  • Late morning to afternoon breezes - up to 15-25 mph possible each day
  •

No storms this week! 

Forecast Summary:

Becoming gradually warmer this week. High temperatures climbing from the mid 50s today to the mid 60s by Sunday. Morning lows in the lower 30s warming to near 40 by Sunday morning. Variable high cloudiness and late morning to afternoon breezes from the south to west up to 15 – 25 mph possible each day, especially Wednesday afternoon - evening. Precipitation unlikely this week.

Forecast Table:


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Forecast Discussion:

Even though we had a very stormy month of February, with near record wind gusts and some impressive snow last Wednesday, the actual precipitation totals were below normal. The Prescott measuring station off of Sundog Ranch Road recorded 1.39” of liquid equivalent (which is less than the mean of 1.48”). The Prescott Airport 0.70” liquid equivalent (which is less than the monthly mean of 0.98”). However, Flagstaff at 7,000’ elevation received 3.12” of liquid equivalent, which is well above the mean of 1.79” for February. Some of the higher elevation locations on the south side of Prescott were also hit pretty hard. Evidently, the lifting influence of terrain was a key factor in the precipitation totals last month.

This week, we will finally have a break from stormy weather. There will be general troughing across the Great Basin the next few days, but most of the energy will remain to our north, except for a trough brushing northern Arizona on Wednesday afternoon to evening. Nevertheless, the weather will remain dry this week and will gradually warm up through the coming weekend. Also expect occasional breezy weather (especially in the late morning to afternoon hours) and periods high clouds moving across in our area. 

C. James


MetMail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once per week via email. Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Meteorology (https://erau.edu/degrees/bachelor/meteorology?campus=Prescott). Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates! 

Embry-Riddle Prescott Meteorology Website:


This has a selection of model forecast products and other links.

Official National Weather Service Forecast:


This clickable map will give you an official detailed local weather forecast for any location in the Western U.S.



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Last modified on Monday, 06 March 2023 18:44
Published in Azeducation.news
Dr. Curtis N. James, Ph.D.

Curtis N. James, Ph. D. Is a Professor of Meteorology at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University in the Department of Applied Aviation Sciences.

He has taught courses in beginning meteorology, aviation weather, thunderstorms, satellite and radar imagery interpretation, atmospheric physics, mountain meteorology, tropical meteorology and weather forecasting techniques for over 16 years. He participates in ERAU’s Study Abroad program, offering alternating summer programs each year in Switzerland and Brazil.

He earned a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington (2004) and participated in the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP; 1999), an international field research project in the European Alps. His research specialties include radar, mesoscale, and mountain meteorology. He earned his B.S. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Arizona (1995), during which time he gained two years of operational experience as a student intern with the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Tucson, Arizona (1993-1995).

Dr. James is a native of Arizona where he currently resides with his wife and five children. He is active in his community, having served on the Prescott SciTechFest Advisory Committee and as a Board Member for the Children's Museum Alliance, Inc. On his spare time, he enjoys weather watching, backpacking, camping, fishing, caving, mountain biking, acting, and music. He is an Eagle Scout and serves as the scoutmaster for a local scout troop.