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Nice Weather, Cooling This Weekend Featured

Mostly sunny skies this week until this weekend.

Big Idea

  • Warmer-than-normal through Thursday, Some afternoon breezes
  • Lows in the lower 50’s
  • Considerably cooler this weekend
  • Temperatures not expected to reach high 80’s for the rest of the year
  • Read more...

Forecast Summary:

Other than some high clouds, expect mostly sunny skies and continued warmer-than-normal weather through Thursday, with light afternoon breezes from the west or southwest. Highs in the mid to upper 80s and overnight lows in the lower 50s through Thursday. High temperatures will then drop from the lower 80s to the lower 70s from Friday to Sunday, with lows dropping into the upper 40s by Sunday. Also, expect breezy conditions and partly cloudy skies for the weekend, with the remote possibility for some isolated rain showers (but little or no accumulation is expected at this time).

Forecast Table:

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecast/wxtables/

Navigate on the map to your location and click for a detailed local forecast.

Discussion:

The high pressure ridge that has been plaguing us with hot weather will persist through midweek, but will begin to flatten out later in the week. Two back-to-back upper-air troughs are expected to swing across northern Arizona on Saturday and again Sunday. They will bring some welcome cooling of about 15 degrees between today and Sunday. Expect warmer-than-normal conditions to persist through Thursday, but then breezy and cooler weather Friday. Partly cloudy, breezy, and progressively cooler on Saturday and Sunday. If we are lucky, we might see some light rain showers (but little or no accumulation is expected at this time).

For early next week, high pressure is expected to rebuild again over the West, but temperatures will hopefully not get back into the upper 80s again this year… J

You may have noticed that there was a full moon on Thursday, Oct. 1. That full moon was called a “harvest moon”, the full moon that occurs closest to the autumnal equinox, because it provides light to enable farmers to harvest crops at night. There will be another full moon on Halloween, being called a “blue moon” (second full moon in a calendar month).

You also may note that Tropical Storm Delta (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Delta) is expected to move over the Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days and will likely take aim at the Gulf Coast, possibly as a hurricane by Friday. This year’s Atlantic hurricane season continues to set records!

C. James

--

Curtis N. James, Ph.D.
Professor of Meteorology
Department of Applied Aviation Sciences

3700 Willow Creek Road
Prescott, AZ 86301-3720
928.777.6655
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.


Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!

Further Information:

ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program

Official National Weather Service forecast

Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University: Website | Facebook | Twitter | YouTube

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Last modified on Tuesday, 06 October 2020 08:48
Dr. Curtis N. James, Ph.D.

Curtis N. James, Ph. D. Is a Professor of Meteorology at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University in the Department of Applied Aviation Sciences.

He has taught courses in beginning meteorology, aviation weather, thunderstorms, satellite and radar imagery interpretation, atmospheric physics, mountain meteorology, tropical meteorology and weather forecasting techniques for over 16 years. He participates in ERAU’s Study Abroad program, offering alternating summer programs each year in Switzerland and Brazil.

He earned a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington (2004) and participated in the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP; 1999), an international field research project in the European Alps. His research specialties include radar, mesoscale, and mountain meteorology. He earned his B.S. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Arizona (1995), during which time he gained two years of operational experience as a student intern with the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Tucson, Arizona (1993-1995).

Dr. James is a native of Arizona where he currently resides with his wife and five children. He is active in his community, having served on the Prescott SciTechFest Advisory Committee and as a Board Member for the Children's Museum Alliance, Inc. On his spare time, he enjoys weather watching, backpacking, camping, fishing, caving, mountain biking, acting, and music. He is an Eagle Scout and serves as the scoutmaster for a local scout troop.

https://erau.edu/degrees/bachelor/bachelor-of-science-degree-in-applied-meteorology?campus=prescott

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