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Monsoons Bring Chance for More Storms This Week Featured

More of the same this week.

Big Idea

  • Cloudy afternoons, chance of afternoon or evening showers
  • Continued unusually warm this week, afternoon breezes at times
  • High temps remaining in low to mid 90s
  • Cooling slightly for weekend

Hot, breezy, and possible showers.

Forecast Summary:

Partly cloudy in the afternoon, with a slight chance of afternoon or evening showers or thunderstorms each day. Continued unusually warm this week, with high temperatures remaining in the low to mid 90s each day, but cooling slightly for the coming weekend. Overnight lows in the upper 60s. Afternoon breezes at times.

Forecast Table:

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecast/wxtables/

Navigate on the map to your location and click for a detailed local forecast.

Discussion:

Continued warmer than normal this week, but enough moisture and instability will remain for a daily chance for mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms through the coming weekend. The storms will generally be airmass thunderstorms with little or no organization and slow movement (possibly drifting northeast or east by 5 mph). By Sunday, the Four Corners ridge will flatten out and the winds aloft will become more westerly and then northwesterly early next week. This will likely result in a slight drying and cooling trend over the weekend and into early next week.

The past 5 days we have seen a low-moderate grade monsoon pattern with rainfall totals from less than 0.25” to near 1.0” around the Quad City area. However, precipitation totals for the monsoon thus fare are still anywhere from 2” - 8” below normal. It has really been a dry and hot summer over all! If you wish to examine these precipitation totals for yourself, visit https://water.weather.gov/precip/ and click on the map to zoom in on Arizona.

Curtis James

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Curtis N. James, Ph.D.
Professor of Meteorology

Department of Applied Aviation Sciences

3700 Willow Creek Road
Prescott, AZ 86301-3720
928.777.6655
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Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
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Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!

Further Information:

ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program

Official National Weather Service forecast

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Last modified on Tuesday, 25 August 2020 05:56
Dr. Curtis N. James, Ph.D.

Curtis N. James, Ph. D. Is a Professor of Meteorology at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University in the Department of Applied Aviation Sciences.

He has taught courses in beginning meteorology, aviation weather, thunderstorms, satellite and radar imagery interpretation, atmospheric physics, mountain meteorology, tropical meteorology and weather forecasting techniques for over 16 years. He participates in ERAU’s Study Abroad program, offering alternating summer programs each year in Switzerland and Brazil.

He earned a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington (2004) and participated in the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP; 1999), an international field research project in the European Alps. His research specialties include radar, mesoscale, and mountain meteorology. He earned his B.S. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Arizona (1995), during which time he gained two years of operational experience as a student intern with the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Tucson, Arizona (1993-1995).

Dr. James is a native of Arizona where he currently resides with his wife and five children. He is active in his community, having served on the Prescott SciTechFest Advisory Committee and as a Board Member for the Children's Museum Alliance, Inc. On his spare time, he enjoys weather watching, backpacking, camping, fishing, caving, mountain biking, acting, and music. He is an Eagle Scout and serves as the scoutmaster for a local scout troop.

https://erau.edu/degrees/bachelor/bachelor-of-science-degree-in-applied-meteorology?campus=prescott